FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 04 November 2026
Lens 1–9 ComoMatch recap · Wednesday, 04 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Both Teams to Score✓
Over 23.5 Total Shots✓
Franjo Ivanovic 1+ Shot✓
Nico Paz 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Lens win
40%
Draw
24%
Como win
36%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.6
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 9
Total 10 (+6.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 4.3
From the match itself
The match produced 6.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.