Leicester City vs Northampton Town prediction — EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK

EFL Cup · Sat 8 Aug · 15:00 UK
Leicester City 40Draw 28Northampton Town 32
The call
68%
Leicester City or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Leicester City beat Northampton Town 1–0. Bawler's model had Leicester City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Leicester City had 8 shots (3 on target) to Northampton Town's 4 (2), with 77% of the ball against 23%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 0.6, so Northampton Town created the better chances and still lost the game.

Leicester…Full-time statsNorthampton…
77%Possession23%
0.5Expected goals (xG)0.6
8Shots4
3Shots on target2
4Shots inside box3
1Big chances1
7Corners5
2Saves2
11Fouls12
2Offsides1
4Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLeicester City 40%Leicester City (40% called)
Total goals3.51
Both teams to score50%No
Model callLeicester City or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Leicester City to score84%
Northampton Town to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Leicester City vs Northampton Town?

Leicester City beat Northampton Town 1–0. Bawler's model had Leicester City in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Leicester City had 8 shots (3 on target) to Northampton Town's 4 (2), with 77% of the ball against 23%. On expected goals it was 0.5 to 0.6, so Northampton Town created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Leicester City vs Northampton Town?

Leicester City 1–0 Northampton Town, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Leicester City 40%, the draw 28% and Northampton Town 32%.

What were the stats in Leicester City vs Northampton Town?

Full-time: Possession 77%–23%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.6, Shots 8–4, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 4–3, Big chances 1–1, Corners 7–5, Saves 2–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–1.

Did both teams score in Leicester City vs Northampton Town?

No. It finished 1–0, so Northampton Town failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Leicester City vs Northampton Town right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Leicester City 40%, it finished Leicester City (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Leicester City or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Leicester City
Next up
25 AugAIpswich Town1–3 L
Northampton Town
All fixtures & results →Leicester City form →Northampton Town form →