Lebanon v Palestine prediction
Our model makes Palestine favourites for this International friendlies game, giving them a 40% chance of winning. Lebanon are 32% and the draw is 27%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Lebanon 0–1 Palestine, the most likely Palestine win (10%). We expect 2.7 goals in total: 1.3 for Lebanon and 1.4 for Palestine. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals is 50%.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
More chances
Lebanon · last 6
Palestine · last 6
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Palestine or draw is 68% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Lebanon vs Palestine?
Bawler's model rates this match: Palestine are favoured (40% win probability vs 32% for Lebanon, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Lebanon vs Palestine?
Bawler's predicted score is Lebanon 0-1 Palestine: the most likely score if Palestine win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.5%. Expected total goals: 2.7.
How does Bawler predict Lebanon vs Palestine?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Lebanon 32%, the draw 27% and Palestine 40%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Lebanon vs Palestine?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Lebanon expecting 1.26 goals and Palestine 1.43.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Lebanon vs Palestine?
Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. Three or more goals is a coin flip: over 2.5 goals is 50%.
When are the Lebanon v Palestine line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.