We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Lebanon win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)Expected goals
1.2v1.5
2.7 in totalBoth teams score
55%
Leans yes3+ goals
52%
Leans likelyWhat we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
1.2Goals1.5
0.5Goals0.7
0.7Goals0.8
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we said the chances were
Lebanon to score78%
2 or more goals76%
Kyrgyz Republic to score71%
3 goals or fewer71%
Goal before half-time70%
First half — what we expected
42%
to score before half-time
49%
to score before half-time
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who won Kyrgyz Republic vs Lebanon?
Kyrgyz Republic beat Lebanon 3–1.
What was the final score in Kyrgyz Republic vs Lebanon?
Kyrgyz Republic 3–1 Lebanon, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Kyrgyz Republic 30%, the draw 27% and Lebanon 43%.
Did both teams score in Kyrgyz Republic vs Lebanon?
Yes — both Kyrgyz Republic and Lebanon scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.