What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
More chances
Kyrgyz Republic · last 4
Vietnam · last 6
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Vietnam or draw is 78% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Kyrgyz Republic vs Vietnam?
Bawler's model rates this match: Vietnam are favoured (54% win probability vs 22% for Kyrgyz Republic, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Kyrgyz Republic vs Vietnam?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Kyrgyz Republic 1-1 Vietnam (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Kyrgyz Republic vs Vietnam?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Kyrgyz Republic 22%, the draw 25% and Vietnam 54%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Kyrgyz Republic vs Vietnam?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Kyrgyz Republic expecting 1.05 goals and Vietnam 1.77.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Kyrgyz Republic vs Vietnam?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 54%.