KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 16:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 16:00 UK
KuPS Kuopio 47Draw 26Shamrock Rovers 27
The call
76%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

KuPS Kuopio beat Shamrock Rovers 1–0. Bawler's model had KuPS Kuopio in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. KuPS Kuopio had 9 shots (4 on target) to Shamrock Rovers' 5 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

KuPS KuopioFull-time statsShamrock…
61%Possession39%
9Shots5
4Shots on target2
3Corners2
14Fouls10
2Offsides3
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultKuPS Kuopio 47%KuPS Kuopio (47% called)
Total goals2.71
Both teams to score55%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 76%Missed
Second call1X 73%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
KuPS Kuopio to score80%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Shamrock Rovers to score68%

First half — what we expected

KuPS KuopioBefore half-timeShamrock Rovers
50%Chance to score48%
4.0Expected shots2.4
2.2Expected shots on target2.0
2.0Expected corners2.4
74%Chance of 3+ shots41%
38%Chance of 5+ shots11%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
36%Chance of 3+ shots on target32%
84%Chance of 1+ corners89%
32%Chance of 3+ corners42%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 74%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers?

KuPS Kuopio beat Shamrock Rovers 1–0. Bawler's model had KuPS Kuopio in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. KuPS Kuopio had 9 shots (4 on target) to Shamrock Rovers' 5 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

What was the final score in KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers?

KuPS Kuopio 1–0 Shamrock Rovers, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with KuPS Kuopio 47%, the draw 26% and Shamrock Rovers 27%.

What were the stats in KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Shots 9–5, Shots on target 4–2, Corners 3–2, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers?

No. It finished 1–0, so Shamrock Rovers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs Shamrock Rovers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said KuPS Kuopio 47%, it finished KuPS Kuopio (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →KuPS Kuopio form →Shamrock Rovers form →