Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelInternazionale on top, with Marcus Thuram our likeliest to test the keeper.
Internazionale v VfB Stuttgart prediction
Our model gives Internazionale a 61% chance of winning this Champions League game. A VfB Stuttgart win is 19% and a draw 20%. Our predicted score is Internazionale 2–1 VfB Stuttgart (9%), though no one exact score is likely on its own. Our expected goals are 2.4 for Internazionale and 1.3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3.7 in all. Both teams scoring is 66% and three or more goals is 71%.
On shots, our forecast is 22.1 for Internazionale and 11.5 for VfB Stuttgart, with 6.3 and 4.6 on target, and corners at 6.7 to 3.6. So we expect Internazionale to do more of the shooting. Internazionale come in with five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last six. VfB Stuttgart have three wins, one draw and two defeats over the same run.
Marcus Thuram is the player we expect to shoot most: 3.7 shots and 1.2 on target for Internazionale, if they start. For cards, Tiago Tomás (VfB Stuttgart) has been booked once every 3 games in 2025/26, more often than anyone else here. Bawler's pick combines Internazionale or Draw, Internazionale Over 17.5 Shots and Marcus Thuram 1+ Shot on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 48%, a fair price of 11/10 (2.10).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Internazionale · last 6
VfB Stuttgart · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Internazionale to win is 61% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Serie A table →Bundesliga table →Common questions
Who will win Internazionale vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler's model rates this match: Internazionale are favoured (61% win probability vs 19% for VfB Stuttgart, 20% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Internazionale vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler's predicted score is Internazionale 2-1 VfB Stuttgart: the most likely score if Internazionale win, which is the likeliest result (61%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.2%. Expected total goals: 3.7.
How does Bawler predict Internazionale vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Internazionale 61%, the draw 20% and VfB Stuttgart 19%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Internazionale vs VfB Stuttgart?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 66% chance. That is based on Internazionale expecting 2.38 goals and VfB Stuttgart 1.29.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Internazionale vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bawler's model expects 3.7 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 71%.
When are the Internazionale v VfB Stuttgart line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Internazionale v VfB Stuttgart?
Internazionale or Draw (81%), Internazionale Over 17.5 Shots (78%), Marcus Thuram 1+ Shot on Target (66%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 48% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.10). 18+, please gamble responsibly.