HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk prediction — KNVB Beker · Thu 29 Oct · 19:00 UK

KNVB Beker · Thu 29 Oct · 19:00 UK
43HSV Hoek win26Draw30Sparta Nijkerk win
Our call before kickoff
70%
HSV Hoek or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 4–2

How it finished

HSV Hoek beat Sparta Nijkerk 4–2. Bawler's model had HSV Hoek in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. HSV Hoek had 24 shots (9 on target) to Sparta Nijkerk's 8 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 4.3 to 1.0.

HSV HoekFull-time statsSparta…
58%Possession42%
4.3Expected goals (xG)1.0
24Shots8
9Shots on target4
21Shots inside box6
7Big chances2
8Corners0
2Saves5
12Fouls13
4Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHSV Hoek or draw 70%HSV Hoek won (43% called)
Total goals2.96
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

HSV Hoek to score79%
2 or more goals78%
Sparta Nijkerk to score72%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer68%
Both teams score57%
3 or more goals55%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

HSV HoekSparta NijkerkSparta Nijkerk
1.6Goals1.3
HSV HoekSparta NijkerkSparta Nijkerk
0.7Goals0.6
HSV HoekSparta NijkerkSparta Nijkerk
0.9Goals0.7

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

HSV Hoek
50%
to score before half-time
Sparta Nijkerk
43%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

HSV Hoek beat Sparta Nijkerk 4–2. Bawler's model had HSV Hoek in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. HSV Hoek had 24 shots (9 on target) to Sparta Nijkerk's 8 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 4.3 to 1.0.

What was the final score in HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

HSV Hoek 4–2 Sparta Nijkerk, played on 29 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: KNVB Beker. Bawler's model had gone into it with HSV Hoek 43%, the draw 26% and Sparta Nijkerk 30%.

What were the stats in HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 4.3–1.0, Shots 24–8, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 21–6, Big chances 7–2, Corners 8–0, Saves 2–5, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?

Yes — both HSV Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for HSV Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said HSV Hoek or draw 70%, it finished HSV Hoek won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.