HSV Hoek beat Sparta Nijkerk 4–2. Bawler's model had HSV Hoek in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. HSV Hoek had 24 shots (9 on target) to Sparta Nijkerk's 8 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 4.3 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
HSV Hoek beat Sparta Nijkerk 4–2. Bawler's model had HSV Hoek in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. HSV Hoek had 24 shots (9 on target) to Sparta Nijkerk's 8 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 4.3 to 1.0.
HSV Hoek 4–2 Sparta Nijkerk, played on 29 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: KNVB Beker. Bawler's model had gone into it with HSV Hoek 43%, the draw 26% and Sparta Nijkerk 30%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 4.3–1.0, Shots 24–8, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 21–6, Big chances 7–2, Corners 8–0, Saves 2–5, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
Yes — both HSV Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said HSV Hoek or draw 70%, it finished HSV Hoek won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.