FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Heart of Midlothian 2–5 FalkirkMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Heart of Midlothian or Draw✗
Heart of Midlothian Over 12.5 Shots✓
Cláudio Braga 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Heart of Midlothian win
55%
Draw
24%
Falkirk win
21%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.1
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 5
Total 7 (+4.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 2.5
From the match itself
The match produced 4.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.