FT · Europe: Champions League · Wednesday, 04 November 2026
Fenerbahce 3–2 LiverpoolMatch recap · Wednesday, 04 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Liverpool or Draw✗
Liverpool Over 12.5 Shots✓
Bradley Barcola 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Fenerbahce win
16%
Result
Draw
20%
Liverpool win
64%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 2.3
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+1.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.6 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.