FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 08 November 2026
FC Twente 2–2 Ajax AmsterdamMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
FC Twente or Draw✓
FC Twente Over 14.5 Shots✓
Younes Taha 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Twente win
53%
Draw
23%
Result
Ajax Amsterdam win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.3
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.