FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 19:30 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 6 Aug · 19:30 UK
FC Lugano 40Draw 28NSI Runavik 32
The call
68%
FC Lugano or draw
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

FC Lugano beat NSI Runavik 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Lugano in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Lugano had 31 shots (9 on target) to NSI Runavik's 5 (1), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.6.

FC LuganoFull-time statsNSI Runavik
69%Possession31%
3.0Expected goals (xG)0.6
31Shots5
9Shots on target1
22Shots inside box3
2Big chances0
15Corners3
1Saves6
16Fouls3
0Offsides0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Lugano 40%FC Lugano (40% called)
Total goals3.52
Both teams to score50%No
Model callFC Lugano or Draw 68%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
FC Lugano to score84%
NSI Runavik to score81%
Over 2.5 goals68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

FC Lugano beat NSI Runavik 2–0. Bawler's model had FC Lugano in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Lugano had 31 shots (9 on target) to NSI Runavik's 5 (1), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.6.

What was the final score in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

FC Lugano 2–0 NSI Runavik, played on 06 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Lugano 40%, the draw 28% and NSI Runavik 32%.

What were the stats in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.6, Shots 31–5, Shots on target 9–1, Shots inside box 22–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 15–3, Saves 1–6, Fouls 16–3, Offsides 0–0.

Did both teams score in FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik?

No. It finished 2–0, so NSI Runavik failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Lugano 40%, it finished FC Lugano (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said FC Lugano or Draw 68%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

NSI Runavik
Next up
13 AugHFC Lugano2–2 D
All fixtures & results →FC Lugano form →NSI Runavik form →