FC Ilves vs Rijeka prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 17:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 13 Aug · 17:00 UK
FC Ilves 40Draw 28Rijeka 32
The call
68%
FC Ilves or draw
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

FC Ilves and Rijeka drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Ilves at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. FC Ilves had 7 shots (4 on target) to Rijeka's 14 (5), with 45% of the ball against 55%.

FC IlvesFull-time statsRijeka
45%Possession55%
7Shots14
4Shots on target5
4Corners3
12Fouls8
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Ilves 40%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score50%Yes
Model callFC Ilves or Draw 68%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals76%
FC Ilves to score74%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Rijeka to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won FC Ilves vs Rijeka?

FC Ilves and Rijeka drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Ilves at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. FC Ilves had 7 shots (4 on target) to Rijeka's 14 (5), with 45% of the ball against 55%.

What was the final score in FC Ilves vs Rijeka?

FC Ilves 1–1 Rijeka, played on 13 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Ilves 40%, the draw 28% and Rijeka 32%.

What were the stats in FC Ilves vs Rijeka?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Shots 7–14, Shots on target 4–5, Corners 4–3, Fouls 12–8, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in FC Ilves vs Rijeka?

Yes — both FC Ilves and Rijeka scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Ilves vs Rijeka right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Ilves 40%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said FC Ilves or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

FC Ilves
Before this
6 AugARijeka0–1 L
All fixtures & results →FC Ilves form →Rijeka form →