FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Drita Gjilan 2–2 Inter D'EscaldesMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was Drita Gjilan to win at 77%. Bawler had Drita Gjilan at 77%, the draw at 14% and Inter D'Escaldes at 9%. The match finished 2–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

Drita Gjilan win
77%
Draw
14%
Result
Inter D'Escaldes win
9%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
3.0 – 1.0
Total 4.0
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (−0.0 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 4.0.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 91%
Landed
Outside shot
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 24%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

More from Bawler