De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo prediction — KNVB Beker · Thu 29 Oct · 19:00 UK

KNVB Beker · Thu 29 Oct · 19:00 UK
38De Treffers win26Draw36Heracles Almelo win
Our call before kickoff
64%
De Treffers or draw
Landed
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

De Treffers beat Heracles Almelo 1–0. Bawler's model had De Treffers in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. De Treffers had 17 shots (10 on target) to Heracles Almelo's 18 (3), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.3.

De TreffersFull-time statsHeracles…
36%Possession64%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.3
17Shots18
10Shots on target3
10Shots inside box11
1Big chances0
6Corners10
3Saves9
13Fouls13
2Offsides1
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callDe Treffers or draw 64%De Treffers won (38% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals79%
De Treffers to score78%
Heracles Almelo to score77%
Goal before half-time73%
3 goals or fewer66%
Both teams score60%
3 or more goals57%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

De TreffersDe TreffersHeracles AlmeloHeracles Almelo
1.5Goals1.5
De TreffersDe TreffersHeracles AlmeloHeracles Almelo
0.7Goals0.6
De TreffersDe TreffersHeracles AlmeloHeracles Almelo
0.8Goals0.8

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

De Treffers
48%
to score before half-time
Heracles Almelo
48%
to score before half-time

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo?

De Treffers beat Heracles Almelo 1–0. Bawler's model had De Treffers in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. De Treffers had 17 shots (10 on target) to Heracles Almelo's 18 (3), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.3.

What was the final score in De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo?

De Treffers 1–0 Heracles Almelo, played on 29 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: KNVB Beker. Bawler's model had gone into it with De Treffers 38%, the draw 26% and Heracles Almelo 36%.

What were the stats in De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.3, Shots 17–18, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 1–0, Corners 6–10, Saves 3–9, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–4, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo?

No. It finished 1–0, so Heracles Almelo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for De Treffers vs Heracles Almelo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said De Treffers or draw 64%, it finished De Treffers won (38% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Missed.