How it finished
Chelsea beat Luton Town 2–0. Bawler's model had Chelsea in front at 77% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Chelsea had 26 shots (7 on target) to Luton Town's 7 (1), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Chelsea vs Luton Town?
Chelsea beat Luton Town 2–0. Bawler's model had Chelsea in front at 77% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Chelsea had 26 shots (7 on target) to Luton Town's 7 (1), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Chelsea vs Luton Town?
Chelsea 2–0 Luton Town, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chelsea 77%, the draw 15% and Luton Town 8%.
What were the stats in Chelsea vs Luton Town?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.4, Shots 26–7, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 19–4, Big chances 6–0, Corners 9–3, Saves 1–6, Fouls 11–6, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Chelsea vs Luton Town?
No. It finished 2–0, so Luton Town failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chelsea vs Luton Town right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chelsea to win 77%, it finished Chelsea won (77% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No.