FT · England: Championship · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Watford 1–0 Lincoln CityMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Over 25.5 Total Shots✓
Over 7.5 Total Corners✓
Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Watford win
38%
Result
Draw
27%
Lincoln City win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.