FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 25 October 2026
C.D. Nacional 1–0 BragaMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
C.D. Nacional win
21%
Result
Draw
25%
Braga win
54%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 1.8
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.