Peterborough United beat Bristol Rovers 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol Rovers at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Peterborough United 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bristol Rovers had 19 shots (4 on target) to Peterborough United's 9 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Peterborough United beat Bristol Rovers 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bristol Rovers at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Peterborough United 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bristol Rovers had 19 shots (4 on target) to Peterborough United's 9 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 2.0.
Bristol Rovers 0–1 Peterborough United, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol Rovers 40%, the draw 28% and Peterborough United 32%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–2.0, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 17–7, Big chances 1–4, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
No. It finished 0–1, so Bristol Rovers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Bristol Rovers 40%, it finished Peterborough United (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Bristol Rovers or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.