Before kickoff our call was Argentina to win at 95%. Bawler had Argentina at 95%, the draw at 4% and Benin at 1%. The match finished 3–0.
The match produced 0.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.