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Bawler / Albania vs Finland / Recap
FT · Europe: UEFA Nations League · Thursday, 12 November 2026

Albania 2–0 FinlandMatch recap · Thursday, 12 November 2026

Albania
2–0
Albania win
Finland

Pre-match probability vs result

Albania win
31%
Result
Draw
31%
Finland win
38%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.0 – 1.2
Total 2.2
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.6
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.2.

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