Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Fashion Sakala and Mourad Batna both getting shots away.
Al Fayha v Al Fateh prediction
Our model only just leans towards Al Fayha here: 37% to win, with Al Fateh on 36% and the draw on 27%. Our predicted score is Al Fayha 1–0 Al Fateh: the most likely score if Al Fayha win, at 8%. Al Fayha are expected to score 1.4 goals and Al Fateh 1.4, 2.8 between them. Both teams scoring is 57% and three or more goals is 53%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Al Fayha have won two, Al Fateh none, and three were drawn. When they last met, it finished Al-Fayha 2–0 Al Fateh FC, in Jan 2026. For cards, Kennedy Boateng (Al Fateh) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here.
On shots, our forecast is 12.9 for Al Fayha and 13.1 for Al Fateh, with 4.2 and 4.7 on target, and corners at 4.9 to 4.9. In their last six games Al Fayha have one win, three draws and two defeats, while Al Fateh have one win, no draws and five defeats. Al Fayha won their most recent match and Al Fateh lost theirs. For Bawler's pick we have gone with Both Teams to Score, Over 21.5 Total Shots, Fashion Sakala 1+ Shot and Mourad Batna 1+ Shot. The chance all four land is 45% on our numbers, so the fair price is 5/4, or 2.23.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Al Fayha · last 6
Al Fateh · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Al Fayha or draw is 64% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Saudi Pro League table →Common questions
Who will win Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Bawler's model rates this match: Al Fayha are favoured (37% win probability vs 36% for Al Fateh, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Bawler's predicted score is Al Fayha 1-0 Al Fateh: the most likely score if Al Fayha win, which is the likeliest result (37%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.5%. Expected total goals: 2.8.
How does Bawler predict Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Al Fayha 37%, the draw 27% and Al Fateh 36%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 57% chance. That is based on Al Fayha expecting 1.40 goals and Al Fateh 1.39.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?
Bawler's model expects 2.8 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 53%.
When are the Al Fayha v Al Fateh line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Al Fayha v Al Fateh?
Both Teams to Score (57%), Over 21.5 Total Shots (78%), Fashion Sakala 1+ Shot (89%), Mourad Batna 1+ Shot (91%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 45% chance, a fair price of 5/4 (2.23). 18+, please gamble responsibly.