How it finished
AFC Wimbledon beat Newport County 2–1. Bawler's model had AFC Wimbledon in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. AFC Wimbledon had 16 shots (5 on target) to Newport County's 14 (4), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.6, so Newport County created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
AFC Wimbledon beat Newport County 2–1. Bawler's model had AFC Wimbledon in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. AFC Wimbledon had 16 shots (5 on target) to Newport County's 14 (4), with 61% of the ball against 39%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.6, so Newport County created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Newport County, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Wimbledon 40%, the draw 28% and Newport County 32%.
What were the stats in AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.6, Shots 16–14, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 2–2, Corners 7–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 11–15, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County?
Yes — both AFC Wimbledon and Newport County scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said AFC Wimbledon 40%, it finished AFC Wimbledon (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said AFC Wimbledon or Draw 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.