FT · Europe: Champions League · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Villarreal 0–6 Paris Saint-GermainMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Over 25.5 Total Shots✓
Over 6.5 Total Corners✓
Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Villarreal win
30%
Draw
23%
Paris Saint-Germain win
47%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.9
Total 3.5
Actual
0 – 6
Total 6 (+2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 2.7
From the match itself
The match produced 2.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.