FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 06 August 2026

Tre Fiori 14 Drita GjilanMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 06 August 2026

Tre Fiori
14
Drita Gjilan win
Drita Gjilan
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Tre Fiori at 40%, draw at 28%, Drita Gjilan at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-4. The model's headline call was Tre Fiori to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Fiori win
40%
Draw
28%
Gjilan win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Tre Fiori or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

> More from Bawler