FT · USA: MLS · Thursday, 29 October 2026

St. Louis CITY SC 2–3 Portland TimbersMatch recap · Thursday, 29 October 2026

St. Louis CITY SC
2–3
Portland Timbers win
Portland Timbers

Pre-match probability vs result

St. Louis CITY SC win
52%
Draw
23%
Portland Timbers win
25%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.0 – 1.3
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 3
Total 5 (+1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 0.9
From the match itself

The match produced 1.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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