Bawler / Sheriff Tiraspol vs St. Gallen / Recap
FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 06 August 2026

Sheriff Tiraspol 1–3 St. GallenMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Thursday, 06 August 2026

Sheriff Tiraspol
1–3
St. Gallen win
St. Gallen
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Sheriff Tiraspol at 40%, draw at 28%, St. Gallen at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-3. The model's headline call was Sheriff Tiraspol to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Tiraspol win
40%
Draw
28%
Gallen win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Sheriff Tiraspol or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

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