FT · Italy: Serie A · Monday, 02 November 2026
Sassuolo 2–4 FiorentinaMatch recap · Monday, 02 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✓
Over 22.5 Total Shots✗
Armand Laurienté 1+ Shot✓
Franco Mastantuono 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Sassuolo win
34%
Draw
26%
Fiorentina win
40%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.5
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 4
Total 6 (+3.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 2.5
From the match itself
The match produced 3.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.