Bawler / Salford City vs Shrewsbury Town / Recap
FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Salford City 1–2 Shrewsbury TownMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Salford City
1–2
Shrewsbury Town win
Shrewsbury Town
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Salford City at 40%, draw at 28%, Shrewsbury Town at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-2. The model's headline call was Salford City to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
City win
40%
Draw
28%
Town win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Salford City or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

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