FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Red Star Belgrade 02 Hapoel Be'erMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Tuesday, 11 August 2026

Red Star Belgrade
02
Hapoel Be'er win
Hapoel Be'er
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Red Star Belgrade at 40%, draw at 28%, Hapoel Be'er at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-2. The model's headline call was Red Star Belgrade to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Belgrade win
40%
Draw
28%
Be'er win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Red Star Belgrade or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Under 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 81%
No result
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

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