FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Real Sociedad 1–1 LyonMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickVoid
Real Sociedad or Draw✓
Real Sociedad Over 10.5 Shots✓
Luka Sučić 2+ ShotsVoid
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Real Sociedad win
48%
Draw
24%
Result
Lyon win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.4
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.