FT · USA: MLS · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Philadelphia Union 4–1 Toronto FCMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickVoid
Philadelphia Union or Draw✓
Philadelphia Union Over 13.5 Shots✓
Milan Iloski 1+ Shot on TargetVoid
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Philadelphia Union win
66%
Result
Draw
20%
Toronto FC win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 1.0
Total 3.3
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.5 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.