FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Panathinaikos 2–1 Borac Banja LukaMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Panathinaikos to win at 64%. Bawler had Panathinaikos at 64%, the draw at 21% and Borac Banja Luka at 15%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Panathinaikos win
64%
Result
Draw
21%
Borac Banja Luka win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.9
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.8 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Panathinaikos to win
Pre-match: 64%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.