FT · England: Championship · Tuesday, 03 November 2026

Derby County 0–4 Norwich CityMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026

Derby County
0–4
Norwich City win
Norwich City

How Bawler's pick did

Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✗
Over 20.5 Total Shots✓
Carlton Morris 1+ Shot✓
Mathias Kvistgaarden 1+ Shot✓

Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →

Pre-match probability vs result

Derby County win
37%
Draw
26%
Norwich City win
37%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.5 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.8
From the match itself

The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

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