FT · Italy: Serie A · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Monza 1–4 NapoliMatch recap · Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Monza win
31%
Draw
25%
Napoli win
44%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.7
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 4
Total 5 (+2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.