FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Minnesota United FC 3–1 San Jose EarthquakesMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✓
Over 22.5 Total Shots✗
Kelvin Yeboah 1+ Shot✓
Preston Judd 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Minnesota United FC win
45%
Result
Draw
24%
San Jose Earthquakes win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.5
Total 3.4
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 3.4.