FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Sunday, 09 August 2026
Mansfield Town 0–3 Sheffield UnitedMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 09 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Mansfield Town at 40%, draw at 28%, Sheffield United at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-3. The model's headline call was Mansfield Town to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Town win
40%
Draw
28%
United win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Mansfield Town or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost