FT · Europe: Champions League · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Manchester United 3–2 AS RomaMatch recap · Tuesday, 03 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Manchester United or Draw✓
Manchester United Over 12.5 Shots✓
Bryan Mbeumo 2+ Shots✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Manchester United win
58%
Result
Draw
21%
AS Roma win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.3
Total 3.5
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.7 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.