What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
More chances
Malaysia · last 6
Yemen · last 6
First half — what we expect
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Malaysia to win is 64% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win Malaysia vs Yemen?
Bawler's model rates this match: Malaysia are favoured (64% win probability vs 16% for Yemen, 21% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Malaysia vs Yemen?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Malaysia 2-1 Yemen (9.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.2.
How does Bawler predict Malaysia vs Yemen?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Malaysia 64%, the draw 21% and Yemen 16%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Malaysia vs Yemen?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 57% chance. That is based on Malaysia expecting 2.21 goals and Yemen 1.02.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Malaysia vs Yemen?
Bawler's model expects 3.2 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 63%.