FT · England: Premier League · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Liverpool 0–1 ArsenalMatch recap · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Liverpool win
30%
Draw
27%
Arsenal win
43%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.5
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.