FT · France: Ligue 1 · Friday, 30 October 2026
Lille 1–0 LensMatch recap · Friday, 30 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lille win
40%
Result
Draw
26%
Lens win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.5
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.7 – 0.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.