FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Lecce 1–2 GenoaMatch recap · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lecce win
29%
Draw
28%
Genoa win
43%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.4
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.