FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Juventus 2–0 NapoliMatch recap · Sunday, 01 November 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Juventus win
48%
Result
Draw
26%
Napoli win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.