FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Sunday, 18 October 2026
Istanbul Basaksehir 2–1 Gaziantep FKMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 18 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Istanbul Basaksehir to win at 61%. Bawler had Istanbul Basaksehir at 61%, the draw at 21% and Gaziantep FK at 17%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Istanbul Basaksehir win
61%
Result
Draw
21%
Gaziantep FK win
17%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 1.1
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Istanbul Basaksehir to win
Pre-match: 61%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.