FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Houston Dynamo FC 0–1 St. Louis CITY SCMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Both Teams to Score✗
Over 23.5 Total Shots✓
Guilherme Augusto 1+ Shot✓
Rafael Navarro 1+ Shot✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Houston Dynamo FC win
36%
Draw
26%
St. Louis CITY SC win
38%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.