Team stats
What we expect from each side, next to how they have been doing lately.
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet. Each card is drawn on one scale, so the two bars are directly comparable. “Above recent” means our forecast is higher than their average over the last six.
Match odds
How likely the big moments are, and what they add up to.
Our numbers, most likely first
Ranked by our probability, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
In plain English
Hannover 96 are more likely than not to avoid defeat, but it is close. The model sees around three goals in it.
What would change the call
Hannover 96 or draw, priced again from the same expected goals if the match reaches these states.
Each row is the call re-priced for that scoreline at half-time. Lineups are not in it — we publish per-player shooting rates, not a squad-strength number, so what a rested front three does to this figure is not something we can honestly put a number on.
First half — what we expect
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?
Bawler's model rates this match: Hannover 96 are favoured (43% win probability vs 30% for Kaiserslautern, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Hannover 96 1-1 Kaiserslautern (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.7.
How does Bawler predict Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Hannover 96 43%, the draw 27% and Kaiserslautern 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Hannover 96 expecting 1.48 goals and Kaiserslautern 1.19.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?
Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. Three or more goals is a coin flip: over 2.5 goals is 50%.