FT · ENGLAND: EFL Cup · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Grimsby Town 13 BlackpoolMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026

Grimsby Town
13
Blackpool win
Blackpool
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Grimsby Town at 40%, draw at 28%, Blackpool at 32%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-3. The model's headline call was Grimsby Town to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Town win
40%
Draw
28%
Blackpool win
32%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Grimsby Town or Draw
Pre-match: 68%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
✗ Lost

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