How it finished
Luton Town beat Gillingham 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Gillingham at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Luton Town 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Gillingham had 7 shots (2 on target) to Luton Town's 17 (11), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 3.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Gillingham vs Luton Town?
Luton Town beat Gillingham 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Gillingham at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Luton Town 32%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Gillingham had 7 shots (2 on target) to Luton Town's 17 (11), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 0.3 to 3.3.
What was the final score in Gillingham vs Luton Town?
Gillingham 0–3 Luton Town, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gillingham 40%, the draw 28% and Luton Town 32%.
What were the stats in Gillingham vs Luton Town?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–3.3, Shots 7–17, Shots on target 2–11, Shots inside box 3–16, Big chances 0–5, Corners 2–9, Saves 8–2, Fouls 17–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Gillingham vs Luton Town?
No. It finished 0–3, so Gillingham failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Gillingham vs Luton Town right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Gillingham 40%, it finished Luton Town (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said Gillingham or Draw 68%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Landed.