Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelFC Utrecht on top, and Ángel Alarcon getting plenty of shots away.
FC Utrecht v SC Cambuur prediction
Our model gives FC Utrecht 48%, the draw 23% and SC Cambuur 29%, so FC Utrecht start as favourites. If you want one score, our predicted score is FC Utrecht 2–1 SC Cambuur, the most likely FC Utrecht win (9%). FC Utrecht are expected to score 2.0 goals and SC Cambuur 1.5, 3.6 between them. Both teams scoring is 68% and three or more goals is 69%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, FC Utrecht have won two, SC Cambuur one, and two were drawn. When they last met, it finished Cambuur 0–3 FC Utrecht, in May 2023. On shots, our forecast is 18.0 for FC Utrecht and 13.0 for SC Cambuur, with 4.9 and 5.7 on target, and corners at 5.9 to 4.3. So we expect FC Utrecht to do more of the shooting.
In their last six games FC Utrecht have three wins, one draw and two defeats, while SC Cambuur have four wins, two draws and no defeats. FC Utrecht lost their most recent match and SC Cambuur won theirs. For Bawler's pick we have gone with FC Utrecht or Draw, FC Utrecht Over 13.5 Shots and Ángel Alarcon 2+ Shots. The chance all three land is 47% on our numbers, so the fair price is 11/10, or 2.12.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
FC Utrecht · last 6
SC Cambuur · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
FC Utrecht or draw is 71% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Eredivisie table →Common questions
Who will win FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Bawler's model rates this match: FC Utrecht are favoured (48% win probability vs 29% for SC Cambuur, 23% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Bawler's predicted score is FC Utrecht 2-1 SC Cambuur: the most likely score if FC Utrecht win, which is the likeliest result (48%). Our model puts that exact score at 8.8%. Expected total goals: 3.6.
How does Bawler predict FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives FC Utrecht 48%, the draw 23% and SC Cambuur 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 68% chance. That is based on FC Utrecht expecting 2.02 goals and SC Cambuur 1.54.
Over or under 2.5 goals in FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Bawler's model expects 3.6 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 69%.
When are the FC Utrecht v SC Cambuur line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for FC Utrecht v SC Cambuur?
FC Utrecht or Draw (71%), FC Utrecht Over 13.5 Shots (79%), Ángel Alarcon 2+ Shots (77%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 47% chance, a fair price of 11/10 (2.12). 18+, please gamble responsibly.