Match prediction·EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification·Wednesday 12 Aug, 16:00 UTC

F.C. København vs Debrecen

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
40.0% home28.0% draw32.0% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
F.C. KøbenhavnstepDebrecen
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
F.C. København or Draw
68%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
F.C. København Win
40%
Draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

F.C. København vs Debrecen — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 6 August 2026, F.C. København have won 1, Debrecen have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
6 August 2026Debrecen 03 F.C. KøbenhavnEUROPE: Conference League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: F.C. København 40% · draw 28% · Debrecen 32%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

⚡ Full-time recap available
F.C. København 51 Debrecen
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.